Bracketology Update 1/28

[Jordan Harper]

-Here we are. Alabama is 9-0 in conference and 14-3 overall after their gritty win over Kentucky on Tuesday. Here is where things stand currently:

-Alabama is still #9 in KenPom with the 15th ranked adjusted offense and 8th ranked adjusted defense. Astronomical improvement on defense from last season and that is why they’ve had significantly better and sustained results.

-Alabama ranks 10th in overall NET with the 11th ranked Strength of schedule. Alabama is 9-2 overall in Quad 1&2 games, with a 5-1 record in Quad 1 games. The next 3 games are against teams that rank in the top 35 in NET, so some more opportunities for Q1&Q2 wins.

-As of yesterday, Joe Lunardi had Alabama has the top overall #2 seed and said with a win on Saturday they would vault to a #1 seed. Gonzaga and Baylor are locked in as #1 seeds, but those other 2 are obtainable for Alabama if they stay the course.

-Alabama holds a 3 game lead in the SEC, a 4 game lead if you count tiebreakers. If they can lose less than 5 conference games, then I believe they will win the SEC. After next week (Missouri and LSU), they face the bottom 4 teams in the SEC the two weeks following. If they win those 4 games, then you can pretty much put the conference on ice. What a season this has been.

 

[WAR_GA]

Chance at a #1 seed . . . Who would 'a thunk it?

 

[TideFan35]

Thanks for the good reading Harper!

 

[Pachyderms]

Good stuff

 

[Jay McGee]

What a difference a year makes--

 

[kansas77]

Year Two. Was the same with Saban. The year of experience in a new system is simply invaluable. The upgraded roster helps too lol. CNO, so far, putting on a master class.

 

[Vaughnbama]

-Here we are. Alabama is 9-0 in conference and 14-3 overall after their gritty win over Kentucky on Tuesday. Here is where things stand currently:

-Alabama is still #9 in KenPom with the 15th ranked adjusted offense and 8th ranked adjusted defense. Astronomical improvement on defense from last season and that is why they’ve had significantly better and sustained results.

-Alabama ranks 10th in overall NET with the 11th ranked Strength of schedule. Alabama is 9-2 overall in Quad 1&2 games, with a 5-1 record in Quad 1 games. The next 3 games are against teams that rank in the top 35 in NET, so some more opportunities for Q1&Q2 wins.

-As of yesterday, Joe Lunardi had Alabama has the top overall #2 seed and said with a win on Saturday they would vault to a #1 seed. Gonzaga and Baylor are locked in as #1 seeds, but those other 2 are obtainable for Alabama if they stay the course.

-Alabama holds a 3 game lead in the SEC, a 4 game lead if you count tiebreakers. If they can lose less than 5 conference games, then I believe they will win the SEC. After next week (Missouri and LSU), they face the bottom 4 teams in the SEC the two weeks following. If they win those 4 games, then you can pretty much put the conference on ice. What a season this has been.

I was getting ready to post the same thing. The next three games all have importance to Bama.

a. A win at Oklahoma puts us squarely on the 1 seed line and a loss probably doesn't take us off the 2 line.

b. LSU, a win puts us four games ahead of the second best team in the conference, with only 8 games to play.

c. Missouri, a win and we would have to lose four conference games to lose the regular season title. If we lose Missouri would have the tie-breaker.

After Missouri we should be favored to win the remaining games with the biggest challenges being Auburn at home, Arkansas on the road and Mississippi State on the Road.