Hoops 🏀 SEC Basketball Tournament Scenarios for Alabama

[Jordan Harper]

Since we are 11 SEC games from the tournament seeding being complete, it’s a good time to break down the likely seeds Alabama will have.

All likely scenarios requires Alabama to win on Saturday vs Arkansas.

Here’s the remaining schedules for the teams in the running for a top 4 seed.

Tennessee: @USCe, vs UK
Alabama: vs Ark
Auburn: vs UGA
South Carolina: vs UT, @ Miss St
UK: vs Vandy, @ UT
UF: vs Vandy

Alabama really needs Tennessee to win out to prevent any wild chaos ensuing. That’ll likely keep Kentucky out of the top 4 seeds and Alabama would be the 2 seed.

Every likely scenario has Alabama finishing as the #2 seed (with a win) as they own the tiebreaker over South Carolina and Auburn.

The ONLY two likely scenarios that would keep Alabama (with a win vs Ark) out of the top 4 seeds include:

Tennessee goes 0-2
South Carolina goes 1-1
Auburn beats UGA
Kentucky goes 2-0

In that scenario there would be a 5 way tie for 1st and based on tie breakers, Alabama would be 5th.

The other scenario:

South Carolina goes 2-0
Tennessee goes 0-2
UK goes 2-0
Auburn defeats UGA

In that scenario, there would be a 4 way tie where Alabama would finish 5th. They need to avoid any tie breaker scenario with UT AND UK due to being 0-3 against them.

Now the most likely scenario to happen:
Tennessee finishes 1-1
South Carolina finishes 2-0/1-1
Bama wins
Auburn wins
UK goes 1-1

It doesn’t matter if So Car goes 2-0 or 1-1, as long as Tennessee doesn’t lose out and Alabama will finish in the top 4 with a win vs Arkansas.

 

[WKBaker]

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[Jordan Harper]

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[phillybob70]

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